Service Plays Tuesday 3/9/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Stu Padasso]

Boo

 

[ugk]

Five CBB Teams To Watch Closely This Week

Across the nation college basketball teams will be playing for their tournament lives. One win could make all the difference and in some cases, one loss spells doom.

Here’s a look at five teams that have to make loud noises in conference tournament week to reach the NCAA tournament.

UConn (17-14)

They’re out, they’re in, they’re out again.

No team has had a bigger rollercoaster ride than the Connecticut Huskies. Jim Calhoun’s team was once a staple in the Top 10 but lost its Hall of Fame coach for a spell to exhaustion and a ton of games down the stretch.

UConn will open play in the Big East Tournament on Tuesday and probably have to win the entire shebang to reach the Big Dance.

The Huskies have played the third toughest schedule in the country, knocked off then No. 1 Texas and top 10 teams West Virginia and Villanova.

But, and it’s a big but, no team has ever received an at-large bid the NCAA with 15 losses and UConn’s next loss will be its 15th.

Calhoun was so upset with his team in its loss at South Florida that he benched three of his top players (Jerome Dyson, Stanley Robinson and Gavin Edwards) early in the second half and they never returned. After the game he said they wouldn’t even start when the Huskies play St. John’s at Madison Square Garden Tuesday.

Sit Dyson and Robinson? If you’re a Hall of Fame coach with retirement approaching, you can do whatever you want.

California (21-9)

The Pac-10 has been a whipping boy amongst pundits around the country this year. When a powerhouse like UCLA becomes a dog that’s to be expected.

But can a major conference like the Pac-10 get just one team in the NCAA field? You really wouldn’t think so.

Still, it makes Cal’s appearance in the postseason tourney so important. The Pac-10 is so slightly regarded and conference’s like the Big East are so highly thought of that come Selection Sunday, Cal could be left out in the cold even though it is the regular-season champion.

Cal’s RPI is in the mid-20s and the Bears have played one of the toughest schedules in the country. Here’s the but …

Cal has zero wins over teams in the top 50 and losses to teams ranked as low as 183 in the RPI. Its best non-conference win is against Murray State.

One tourney win should do it and that game is Thursday against either Oregon or Washington State.

Rhode Island (21-8)

The Rams looked like a lock to earn a tournament bid a couple of weeks ago. Now, despite some gaudy RPI (26) numbers, Rhody’s bubble might burst.

The Rams finished the Atlantic 10 slate fifth in the standings and that’s not good enough for a tourney bid.

Rhode Island is 9-4 in road/neutral games this season and 2-4 against top 50 teams. The Rams beat Oklahoma State and Dayton. But close losses to Richmond, St. Louis and Saint Bonaventure coupled with Saturday’s crushing last-second loss to UMass was like sticking a steak knife in a balloon.

Pop goes those tourney hopes.

BUT …

Rhode Island is still a quality team and one of those teams that could make a run in its conference tourney. The Rams get to play host to Saint Joseph’s on Tuesday before heading to Atlantic City for the tourney proper. URI pounded St. Joe’s earlier in the year.

Let’s put it this way. URI plays St. Joe’s then St. Louis and Temple. The Rams should probably start praying now.

Illinois (18-13)

The Fighting Illini have quality wins over Vandy, Wisconsin, Michigan State and Clemson this season but they’re going to need at least another to make the tourney.

With an RPI of around 70 and a strength of schedule at 37, Illinois has to make a bang in the Big Ten tourney.

Seems like coach Bruce Weber is banking on a dose of prayer himself. Weber wanted Sunday’s game pushed back to 1 p.m. so his fans could go to church and then attend his team’s game against Wisconsin. It didn’t help as the Badgers rolled 72-57.

That means the two teams will play again on Friday and it looks pretty safe to say that if the Illini can beat Wisconsin twice in one season, they should get a ticket to the dance.

Weber says the Illini could do some damage if they make the tourney. “We’re good enough,” he said. “We’ve beaten some good teams. We’ve got to get there.”

Illini was getting hammered in Sunday’s before going on a run to cut the deficit to five points and then had three straight empty trips.

They can’t come up empty on Friday.

Memphis (23-8)

The selection committee should love these Tigers. It seems every time they win, they burst someone else’s bubble in the process.

The Tigers are no strangers to NCAA success lately (whether they go to class or not is another matter) and finished the Conference USA regular season in second place.

Memphis is coming off of huge wins against UAB and Tulsa and those two wins just might have gotten the Tigers into the tournament.

In turn it may have taken some of the edge off this questionable team which seems ripe for an upset.

Memphis is 46th in the RPI with a strength of schedule near 80 and this is a team that got pounded by Houston just a couple of weeks ago. Remember that Memphis has won this tournament four straight years but every time it did it was the overwhelming preseason conference favorite. That wasn’t the case this year.

When Calipari left the Tigers the cupboard was bare. And, Memphis lost in the Sweet 16 last year and not one of these current Tigers scored a point in that game. Only Doneal Mack started the game and he went 0-for-7 from the field.

 

[ugk]

Big East Tournament Preview

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR:

Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia and Pittsburgh

THE WAY WE SEE IT:

The Mecca of basketball should once again witness another competitive, exciting Big East tourney.

SYRACUSE lost to Louisville in last year’s title game and the top-ranked Orange are primed to make another title run. The No. 1 seed in this event has appeared in the championship game in each of the last three years and 12 of the previous 17. Boeheim’s boys are always a tough out, posting a solid 11-3 straight up and against the spread record over their last 14 tourney games. Their 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS mark away from the Carrier Dome this season along with their 11-1 SU and ATS log vs .700 or greater opposition has us believing they just might squeeze out their first conference crown since the 2005-2006 campaign.

VILLANOVA has been bounced from this tourney by a No. 1 seed in each of the previous three years and their mediocre 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS record vs. better than .750 opposition this year doesn’t give us much faith they can stop that trend anytime soon. The Wildcats are, however, 19-1 SU and 14-5 ATS vs. 750 or less foes this year and a solid 19-5 SU and 14-10 ATS off a SU win so expect a prolonged stay in the Big Apple.

The Mounties of WEST VIRGINIA are flat out dangerous. Along with five returning starters, they arrive with a veteran coach in Bob Huggins who is a no-nonsense 32-10 SU and 24-17-1 ATS in conference tourney affairs, including 5-1-1 ATS as a dog or favorite of less than a trey. Unfortunately, their 3-7 ATS log vs .800 or greater opposition along with their surprising 1-5 ATS mark with revenge this season will probably have us heading for the hills.

PITTSBURGH came alive down the stretch (8-1 last nine games) and they’ll be eager to make amends for last year’s one-and-done. The defensive-minded Panthers are always worth a look when they show up as dogs (see more below).

THE SLEEPER: Connecticut

Huskies dragged their tails until Jim Calhoun returned to the sidelines in mid February. The bottom line is there is simply too much pedigree to overlook (read: 21-9 SU last Beast East tourney games). Remember, through all their woes this season, UConn was still 4-2-1 ATS as a conference puppy.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: Play On Pittsburgh as a dog

We placed the Panthers in this spot, under the same parameters last season, and they delivered the bacon. The fact of the matter is Pitt is 7-3 SU and ATS in its last 10 roles as a Big East tourney dog – with all seven wins straight up. They were also 7-1-1 ATS as a conference dog this season, and yes – all seven wins were straight up! It ain’t broke, and we’re not about to fix it.

 

[ugk]

Big East tourney: Round 1 Preview and Picks

DePaul Blue Demons vs. South Florida Bulls (-6, 123), 12 p.m.

The betting market has been underestimating the Bulls (18-7-1 ATS) all season. They enter the Big East Tournament riding a three-game win streak, which includes a 63-59 victory at DePaul on March 2. South Florida overcame a five-point halftime deficit and dominated the backboards to pull out the game, which was close the entire way.

The Blue Demons went 1-17 in conference play and have lost 12 straight games, a streak that includes blowing a 20-point lead in a triple-overtime loss to St. John’s on Friday.

But, since firing coach Jerry Wainwright on Jan. 10, DePaul has gone 10-6 against the spread.

DePaul has been out-rebounded by a stunning eight rebounds per game in conference play. In comparison, Marquette, the second-worst rebounding team in Big East play, got out-rebound by just 3.9 per game.

Prediction: South Florida 67, DePaul 60

St. John’s Red Storm vs. UConn Huskies (-4, 132), 2 p.m.

How will UConn’s up-and-down season end? Picked to challenge for the Big East title, the Huskies, instead, suffered through a tumultuous year that included coach Jim Calhoun taking a medical leave.

UConn’s at-large hopes were shredded by Saturday’s loss to South Florida. Now, the Huskies must likely win the tournament or miss the Dance.

St. John’s is in the same boat. The difference is the Huskies have the talent to pull it off. The Red Storm don’t.

In the teams’ only meeting of the season, UConn pulled away from St. John’s in the second half and posted a 75-59 victory on Jan. 20.

Prediction: UConn 70, St. John’s 62

Providence Friars vs. Seton Hall Pirates (-5.5, 168), 7 p.m.

Providence shot just 34.6 percent in a 92-80 home loss to the Pirates on Saturday. It was the Friars’ 10th straight loss. They surrendered more than 90 points in five of those 10.

The smallish Pirates are comfortable playing the up-tempo game. They scored 134 points in a December win over VMI and averaged 75 points per game in Big East play.

In what’s expected to be another fast-paced game, point guard play will be key. Advantage Seton Hall: Sophomore Jordan Theodore led the Pirates with 21 points and a season-high eight assists. In his last four games, he’s shooting 50 percent from the field with a 3-to-1 assist-to-turnover ratio.

Seton Hall is clinging to hope for an NCAA bid, but the Pirates will need a Big East run, not just a win over Providence.

Prediction: Seton Hall 95, Providence 84

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (-7.5, 132), 9 p.m.

Cincinnati is not a great basketball team by any means. The Bearcats (16-14) shot a conference-low 62.5 percent from the free-throw line and a measly 29.6 percent from 3-point range against Big East competition.

Yet, the Bearcats are the clear-cut favorite over a Rutgers team that played its worst game of the conference season in Saturday’s 29-point loss at Pittsburgh.

"This was my worst nightmare come true, but you've got to let it go and move on," coach Fred Hill told reporters. "Mentally, got to get ready for the Big East tournament and just throw this one out.”

In their only meeting of the season, the Bearcats overcame a five-point halftime deficit to win at Rutgers, 65-58, on Jan. 2. Cincinnati dominated the glass, outrebounding Rutgers by 12.

Prediction: Cincinnati 63, Rutgers 59

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Tuesday's Best NHL Bets

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs (+110, 5)

The Bruins left Pittsburgh after Sunday’s 2-1 loss to the Penguins with more than just a bruised ego. Center Marc Savard got leveled from behind by Matt Cooke and fell unconscious to the ice. He eventually regained consciousness, but suffered a concussion and is doubtful for Tuesday’s game.

Head coach Claude Julien was incensed after the game, calling for Cooke’s suspension.

“A guy like that has to be suspended,” Julien told The Boston Globe. “That’s the way I see it because it’s an elbow to the head from the blind side, and that’s exactly the example they show, what we’ve got to get out of our game.

“We got a guy who’s got a concussion, our best player, and he’s going to be out for a while. He was on the ice for a bit and that’s unacceptable.”

Boston was already the NHL’s lowest scoring team with an average of 2.31 goals per game and things won’t be getting any better with Savard out of the lineup.

Goals should be hard to come by in this one. The Maple Leafs have only managed to light the lamp five times in their four games since the Olympic break and six of their last seven outings have gone under the total.

Pick: Under

Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche (+100, 5.5)

The Vancouver Canucks came from behind again and grabbed their 40th win of the season, beating the Nashville Predators 4-2 Sunday after trailing 2-1 in the third period.

Goalie Roberto Luongo bounced back from his atrocious performance against the Blackhawks Friday night, making 33 saves even though he directed a puck into the net with the knob of his stick for the second time in as many games.

“I couldn’t really believe that it happened again”, Luongo told The Vancouver Sun. “I’m just being mentally tested right now. I was able to put it behind me and keep playing.”

Vancouver sits at the top of the Northwest Division standings because of its ability to grind out wins. The Canucks lead the NHL with nine victories on the season when trailing after two periods and have totaled 82 third-period goals.

Expect them to do just that against the Colorado Avalanche.

Pick: Canucks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (-1, 188)

Boston’s “Three Party” of Ray Allen, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett has turned into an “over the hill” social hangover.

All three members of the Big Three are posting their lowest scoring totals since their rookie seasons and Rajon Rondo is the only player in a Celtic uniform pulling his weight these days.

The aging squad struggled to defeat the lowly Wizards on Sunday, trailing by 13 with six minutes left, which was only four games removed from an embarrassing 104-96 home loss to the Nets.

"We've lost so many of these where we played poorly and lost," Doc Rivers said after the come-from-behind victory Sunday. "It was nice to play poorly and win. I just wish we could have played the first 40 minutes, like we played the last eight."

That was about the umpteenth time Rivers has used the word “poorly” to describe his team this year. Rondo said a few weeks ago that there hasn't been the same Celtic vibe and pride in the locker room as there has been in the last couple of seasons.

This is clearly not the same Boston squad that won the NBA championship two years ago and it has not been kind to bettors recently, going 11-18-1 ATS since the New Year.

And honestly, how can you bet against the Bucks at this point? Milwaukee has covered the spread in 10 straight and is 21-4 ATS in their last 25 games.

Pick: Bucks


Miami Heat at Charlotte Bobcats (-3, 185)

Dwyane Wade and the Heat will almost certainly score more than the 65 points they posted against the Bobcats on Jan. 20.

In that dismal affair, Miami shot less than 30 percent from the floor, only hit 2-of-23 three-point attempts and was a smidgen better than 60 percent from the charity stripe as a team.

So was it an off-night for the Heat or was Charlotte’s defense that good? Maybe a little bit of both.

Miami (96.3) and Charlotte (94.8) rank No. 26 and 28 in the Association in scoring, but are also in the Top 5 in scoring defense with both teams surrendering fewer than 96 points per outing.

The Bobcats have played to five consecutive unders where only one total was posted at higher than 194. Charlotte held opponents to 91.0 ppg during that stretch.

Prior to three straight overs, where the Heat played up-tempo teams like Golden State and Atlanta (also one OT game with L.A.), the under had cashed in 9-of-10 Miami contests.

Points will come at a premium in the Southeast showdown on Tuesday.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA WRITE-UP


Tuesday, March 9

Hot Teams
-- Magic won their last five games (4-1 vs spread).
-- Bobcats won three of their last four games.
-- Miami won last three games by 4-3-14 points.
-- Bucks won nine of last ten games (10-0 vs spread). Celtics won their last four games (3-1 vs spread).
-- Utah won 21 of its last 26 games, covered eight of last 11.
-- Trailblazers won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Rockets lost nine of their last thirteen games. Wizards lost five of six.
-- Clippers covered one of their last six games.
-- Pacers lost seven of their last eight games. 76ers lost five of six.
-- Bulls lost last four games, by 10-24-9-6 points.
-- Sacramento lost five of last six games, but covered three of last four.
-- Lakers lost last three games, by 3-15-2 points. Toronto lost five of its last six games (0-5-1 vs spread).

Playing Second of Back-to-Back Nights
-- None

Totals
-- Four of last five Houston road games went over the total. Six of last seven Washington games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Philly games went over the total.
-- Last five Charlotte games stayed under the total. Miami's last three games all went over.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3 in Lakers' last thirteen games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB WRITE-UP


Tuesday, March 9

Information on Tuesday's college basketball games........
Princeton (-6.5) won 58-51 at Penn Feb 16; Tigers are 3-2 as Ivy home favorite, won five of last seven games- they've won home games by 10-24-3-27 points. Dismal season for Penn but they covered last five games as a road underdog, with three of five games decided by one or two points. Penn shot 32% for game in first meeting, 4-18 from outside arc.

Big East tournament
South Florida (-3) won 63-59 at DePaul last Tuesday in brickfest where both sides shot under 39% (combined 4-23 from arc). Bulls won three in row to end regular season, are 8-4 in last dozen Big East games- they are 4-1 vs spread as Big East favorite. DePaul lost last 12 games, dropping last game in triple OT to St John's, after leading by 16 in second half.

St John's (+9) shot 34% from floor (2-17 from the arc) in 75-59 loss at UConn Jan 20; Red Storm lost three of last four games and was down 16 in second half of the win- they're 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as a dog. Huskies lost last three games, allowing 70.3 ppg, as rumors swirl about Calhoun possibly retiring. Huskies are 1-6 in last seven games as a fave, and haven't won Big East conference tournament game since 2005.

Seton Hall (-2) just won 92-80 at Providence Saturday, shooting 50.8% from floor, 25-30 from line, 7-17 from arc while forcing 18 turnovers-- they think they're a bubble team, making this must win. Friars lost last ten games (2-7 vs spread in last nine); they allowed 88+ points in five of last six games. Pirates covered two of last eight as a favorite.

Cincinnati (-4.5) won 65-58 at Rutgers Jan 2, holding Knights to 37% from floor; Bearcats lost last three games and seven of last nine- they're 0-6 vs spread in last six games as a favorite. Rutgers lost four of last five games, getting trounced by 29 at Pitt Saturday; they're 1-3 vs spread in last four games as dog. Cincy last won conference tourney game in '04.

Atlantic 14 tournament
Duquesne, St Bonaventure split pair of games this year; Dukes (-5) got 70-69 home win Jan 23 (led by 15 at half, were just 20-33 at line), lost in Olean 92-80 March 3 (Bonnies shot 56%, 27-37 from line, 9-18 on arc). Dukes are 4-2 in last six games (average total of 166.3 last seven games). Bonnies won four of last five games, losing by 21 at Xavier Saturday.

Rhode Island (-15) waxed St Joe's 101-74 Feb 13 (led 58-34 at the half); Rams lost five of last seven games, with bad loss at UMass to close out regular season- they're 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as favorite. Hawks won last two games after a 1-8 skid; they're 5-6 as A-14 dog. URI is 1-4 in first round of this event the last five years; St Joe's is 4-1.

Dayton (-10.5) beat George Washington 66-51 Jan 20 (led by 12 at half) but Flyers lost four of last five games, covered one of last seven- they're 1-4 vs spread in last five games as favorite. GW covered three of four as an underdog- they missed this tournament last two years, after winning it in '07. Dayton lost six of its last seven games away from home.

Charlotte (-3) won 72-58 at UMass Jan 30, holding host to 34% from floor, 4-28 from arc; 49ers lost last three games and six of last seven, are 1-8 vs spread in last nine games (1-3 in last four as favorite). UMass is 1-4 in last five games, upsetting URI Saturday. Lutz went 13-3 in these tourneys from 1997-2001, but is 4-8 in conference tournaments since.

Sun Belt tournament
Troy won last seven games, North Texas won last ten; both teams are playing third day in a row. Trojans held foes to 35.8%/35.7% from floor last two nights- they won last nite despite scoring just 16 points in 2nd half. Athletic North Texas (+5.5) won 75-72 at Troy Jan 14, only home loss for Trojans in Sun Belt play. UNT covered nine of last 12 games.

Horizon tournament
Butler beat Wright State twice this season, 77-65 in Nutter Center Jan 8 (+1.5), 74-62 in Hinkle Feb 6 (-8); Bulldogs shot 51/67% in two games. Raiders won nine of last 11 games; four of their six Horizon losses are by six or less points. Butler is 19-0 in Horizon, but is 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight league games. Bulldogs won this tourney once in last 8 years.

Big Sky tournament
Northern Colorado, Montana split pair of games this year; Bears won in Missoula, 59-48 (+6.5) Dec 5, then lost 64-62 at home to Griz Jan 28. Northern is 6-1 since Montana loss; they're in third year in Big Sky, are 3-1 in last four road games. Montana won seven of last nine games; they are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as favorite. Neutral site game.

Weber State lost at home in this event LY; they get another chance here, vs Portland State squad they split with during year, winning here 86-83 (-10.5) Jan 22, then losing 84-79 in Portland Feb 28. Vikings won three games in row, scoring 83.3 ppg; they're 4-2 in last six games as road dog. Weber is 6-2 as home favorite, winning by 13-8-3-21-22-10-5-25 pts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL WRITE-UP


Tuesday, March 9

Hot Teams
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games. Flames won three of their last four games.
-- Flyers won six of their last eight games.
-- Bruins won six of their last eight games.
-- Canadiens won seven of their last ten games.
-- Panthers won last two games, scoring 11 goals, after losing previous seven games in a row.
-- Colorado won six of its last nine games. Canucks won five of last six.
-- Edmonton won its last four home games, allowing three goals.

Cold Teams
-- Thrashers lost seven of their last eleven games. Predators lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Islanders lost ten of their last thirten games.
-- Maple Leafs lost five of their last six games.
-- Lightning lost four of its last five games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Senators lost last four games, scoring one goal in each.
-- Anaheim lost last four games, allowing 15 goals. Columbus lost its last four games, scoring seven goals.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Calgary games. Last three Detroit games all went over the total.
-- Three of last four Islander games went over the total.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Lightning games all went over the total.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Florida games.
-- Last five Vancouver games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Ottawa games.
-- Three of last four Anaheim home games went over the total.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Columbus is 2-6 if it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Predators won their last four games against Atlanta.
-- Flames won three of last four games against Detroit.
-- Islanders lost last six games against Philadelphia.
-- Bruins won eight of last nine games against Toronto.
-- Lightning split their last eight visits to Montreal.
-- Minnesota won three in a row vs Florida, by 4-2/3-2/6-2 scores.
-- Canucks won last three games vs Colorado, outscoring them 16-4.
-- Blue Jackets are 5-3 in last eight visits to Anaheim.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, MARCH 9

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

BIG EAST TOURNAMENT

(at New York)

Providence (12-18, 10-15-1 ATS) vs. Seton Hall (18-11, 8-15 ATS)

These teams closed the regular-season against each other on Saturday, with Providence falling 92-80 as a one-point home underdog. The Friars enter the conference tournament at Madison Square Garden on a 10-game losing skid (3-6-1 ATS), and they’ve lost 12 of their last 13 since starting Big East play 3-2 SU and ATS. Providence’s defense has been nonexistent, giving up more than 90 points in three of the last four games and seven of the last 13. Furthermore, the Friars surrendered more than 80 points in 13 of 18 conference contests.
With Seton Hall’s win at Providence on Saturday, the Pirates are now on a 6-2 run, and they’ve followed up a 1-6 ATS slump with consecutive spread-covers (both on the road). Seton Hall has scored 83, 85 and 92 points in its last three games, and has tallied at least 76 points six times during its current 6-2 streak.
Seton Hall has won three of the last four in this rivalry both SU and ATS, and the winning team has scored 88, 98 and 92 points in the last three clashes. The Pirates are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head battles, the ‘dog has covered in seven of the last 10 and the SU winner has cashed in each of the last nine meetings.
Both teams are struggling at the betting window. Providence is in ATS slumps of 2-6-1 overall (all in the Big East and all against winning teams), 1-4 at neutral sites and 1-3-1 after a non-cover. The Pirates have failed to cover in 14 of 20 overall, 13 of 19 against Big East foes, 19 of 26 at neutral sites and eight of 10 after a SU victory. On the bright side, Seton Hall is 5-2 ATS both in its last seven Tuesday contests and its last seven versus losing teams.
The over is on runs of 4-1 for the Friars overall (all in the Big East), 5-1 for the Friars against winning teams, 4-1 for Seton Hall at neutral sites and 5-1 in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SETON HALL and OVER


Rutgers (15-16, 12-14 ATS) vs. Cincinnati (16-14, 7-18 ATS)

Rutgers has followed up a modest three-game winning streak (2-0 in Big East play) by dropping four of its last five, including Saturday’s ugly 83-54 loss at Pittsburgh, failing to cover as a 14½-point road underdog. The Scarlet Knights started Big East play with eight consecutive SU and ATS losses, then covered in seven of their next eight games (5-3 SU) and now have dropped two in a row SU and ATS.
After two narrow losses to eighth-ranked West Virginia (74-68 on the road) and ninth-ranked Villanova (77-73 at home), the Bearcats went to No. 19 Georgetown for Saturday’s regular-season finale and got boat-raced 74-47 as a seven-point road underdog. Cincinnati has lost seven of its last nine games and is 4-14 ATS since the Big East season kicked off.
One of the Bearcats’ four spread-covers in conference play came back on Jan. 2 at Rutgers, a 65-58 win as a five-point road favorite. Cincinnati 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three meetings after the Scarlet Knights went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the first three clashes since the Big East expanded in 2005-06. The favorite has gotten the money in each of the last four meetings.
Rutgers has cashed in seven of 10 overall (all in conference) and five of six on Tuesday, but it is 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral-site games, 3-9 ATS in its last 12 after a SU victory, 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 after a non-cover and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Bearcats’ are in pointspread ruts of 7-22 overall (4-14 last 18), 6-20 in the Big East, 5-16 after a SU defeat, 4-13 after a non-cover, 1-4 against losing teams and 1-5 on Tuesday.
The over is 6-2 in Rutgers’ last eight games after a loss of more than 20 points and 4-0 in Cincy’s last four after a loss of more than 20 points, but the Bearcats are also on “under” stretches of 5-0 at neutral sites, 4-0 on Tuesday and 9-3 after a loss. Finally, this year’s meeting stayed under the total following a 3-0 “over” surge in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: RUTGERS


HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT

(at Indianapolis)

Wright State (20-11, 11-15-2 ATS) at (12) Butler (27-4, 12-19 ATS)

Wright State advanced to the Horizon League tournament championship game with Saturday’s 69-50 rout of Detroit as a 5½-point favorite at Hinkle Fieldhouse, which is Butler’s home court. The Raiders have alternated wins and losses in their last five games, but they’re 9-3 SU in their last 12 contests (all in the Horizon). On the downside, Wright State is just 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 outings, and it has posted consecutive spread-covers just once since starting the season 4-0 ATS.
Butler, shooting for its third consecutive Horizon League championship, has a 19-game winning streak on the line today, and it also sports a 19-0 record in conference. On Saturday, the Bulldogs hosted Wisconsin-Milwaukee in semifinal action and pulled away late for a 68-59 victory, falling short as a 14½-point favorite. Butler has turned up the heat defensively, holding six of its last seven opponents and 10 of the last 13 under 60 points.
The Bulldogs swept the season series from the Raiders, winning 77-65 as a 1½-point road underdog and 74-62 as an eight-point home chalk. Since losing three straight to Wright State – including the 2007 conference tournament championship game – Butler has won six in a row in this rivalry, going 4-1 ATS. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings, the underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last nine and the SU winner is 9-2 ATS in the last 11.
Wright State has cashed in seven of eight on Tuesday, but from there the pointspread trends turn negative, including 1-11-1 on the road, 4-10-2 in conference, 1-4-1 after a SU win, 1-5 following a spread-cover, 3-8-2 against teams with a winning record and 2-10 against opponents with a winning percentage above .600. Butler is on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 2-6 at home, 0-4 on Tuesday and 2-5 after a SU win.
The under is on runs of 8-2-1 for the Raiders on Tuesday, 4-0 for Butler overall and 5-1 for Butler in Horizon action. However, the over is 4-0 in Wright State’s last four against winning teams, 4-0 in Butler’s last four against winning teams, 6-2 in Butler’s last eight on Tuesday and 4-0 in the last four battles between these schools.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BUTLER and OVER


NBA

Boston (40-21, 24-36-1 ATS) at Milwaukee (33-29, 41-21 ATS)

Two squads going in the right direction clash at the Bradley Center, where the Celtics put a four-game winning streak on the line against the surging Bucks, who have won three in a row and nine of their last 10.
Boston needed a furious fourth-quarter rally to knock off the lowly Wizards 86-83 on Sunday, never threatening to cover as a 12-point home favorite to halt a three-game ATS surge. The Celtics have won four in a row and 11 of their last 16, but their 3-1 ATS uptick comes on the heels of an 11-25 ATS funk.
The Bucks started last week with a home-and-home sweep of the Wizards (100-87 victory as a 10-point home favorite; 102-74 as a four-point road chalk). Then they caught a break against Cleveland on Saturday, as LeBron James sat out with an injury and Milwaukee took advantage with a 92-85 victory over the Cavaliers as a 3½-point home favorite. The Bucks have cashed in 10 straight games (9-1 ATS) – going 4-0 SU and ATS at home – and they now have the best pointspread mark in the NBA.
Boston took out Milwaukee 98-89 in the only previous meeting this season, but the Bucks cashed as a 12½-point road underdog, their fourth straight spread-cover in this rivalry (all as an underdog). The Celtics are 7-1 SU in the last eight series clashes, but Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 (4-1 ATS at the Bradley Center).
The Celtics have cashed in four of their last five on the highway, but they’re otherwise in ATS ruts of 7-16-1 overall, 3-7 against Eastern Conference foes, 1-4 versus the Central Division, 3-8-1 against winning teams, 5-15-1 after one day off, 3-11-1 following a non-cover and 1-4 on Tuesday. Conversely, Milwaukee is on positive ATS runs of 44-21-1 going back to the end of last year, 4-0 at home, 22-6 in Eastern Conference games, 13-3 when facing the Atlantic Division, 4-1 when playing on two days of rest and 22-8 after a spread-cover.
Boston is on “under” runs of 6-2 on the road, 5-2 against the Central Division and 7-2 after a SU victory, while the Bucks sport “under” trends of 4-1 overall, 7-2 at home, 20-6 within the Eastern Conference, 10-4 after a SU win, 4-1 versus the Atlantic Division and 5-1 on Tuesday. Finally, the last two meetings between these squads have stayed below the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Straight Up: 620-273 (.694)
ATS: 486-439 (.525)
ATS Vary Units: 1155-1044 (.525)
Over/Under: 461-470 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 621-633 (.495)

CHARLOTTE 93, Miami 89
INDIANA 103, Philadelphia 102
ORLANDO 106, L.A. Clippers 89
WASHINGTON 100, Houston 99
Utah 103, CHICAGO 100
MILWAUKEE 96, Boston 92
PORTLAND 107, Sacramento 94
L.A. LAKERS 110, Toronto 98

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Season: 333-221 (.601)

Boston vs. TORONTO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 4, N.Y. Islanders 3
Nashville vs. ATLANTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MONTREAL 4, Tampa Bay 3
DETROIT 3, Calgary 2
MINNESOTA 3, Florida 2
Vancouver vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Ottawa 3, EDMONTON 2
ANAHEIM 3, Columbus 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
407 - 296 run 58 %

Bonus Play Tues Cinci BearCats -7

 

[JDizzle311]

Craig Davis
Tuesday's Lineup

40 Dime – WEBER STATE

I will be back by 4:00 pm with my analysis.

BOUGHT, PAID, CONFIRMED.....GOOD LUCK!

 

[mp5070]

John Morrison

LA Clippers [A]
Orlando

Toronto [A]
La Lakers

Utah [A]
Chicago

 

[mp5070]

Insider Sports Report

4* Portland St +7½
3* Seton Hall -5½
3* Charlotte Bobcats -3

 

[bestplaysperiod]

bestplaysperiod
3-9 SELECTIONS
1* depaul +7.5
1* depaul under 123.5
more plays later

 

[jacksonjohn]

I've been told to fade ATS Lock Club and tail Accuscore. Seeking informed, experienced input from the forum. Anyone have YTD records? Thanks and gl.
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[tinfw17]

Mreast ncaab tuesday poison ivy

#567 penn quakers @ #568 princeton tigers 8pm est

play on #567 penn quakers @ #568 princeton tigers under 113 -110 for 3 units